NBA Fantasy Match Up: Kevin Love vs. Lamarcus Aldridge

This is a cross match up that may happen if both of these players reach the NBA Finals. Lamarcus
Aldridge and Kevin Love of the Spurs and Cavaliers respectively have help their teams sweep their opening round opponents. Both of them have home court advantage as they enter the second round.

Love had a double double in each of his team's victories. Aldridge had two double doubles. His team was involved in games that were blow outs and that his minutes were down since the outcome was decided by the third quarter.

 

Love has averaged over 8 post ups per game throughout the playoffs, and Cleveland has averaged 0.87 points per possession in possessions where he had a post up. Love has shot on 57.6% of his post ups, but he’s only made 21.1% of these shots.

 

Aldridge has mostly been matched up with Serge Ibaka in this season’s series between the Spurs and Thunder. He’s found great success when facing Ibaka, going 7-14 (50%) from the field and tallying 15 points in almost 20 minutes of play. Enes Kanter and Steven Adams were both more effective at stopping Aldridge, with each allowing only 1-4 (25%) shooting.

 

I expect the Cavs to dominate the Hawks and Love will continue to double double.  Aldridge will play more minutes this series because the games will be close. I anticipate more production against OKC and would pick him to outperform Love. The price for Love is $7500 while the cost of having Aldridge is approximately $7800.

 

 

 

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NBA Playoffs Fantasy Pick: Isaiah Thomas vs. Paul George

My 2nd match up will compare the productivity of  Isaiah Thomas and Paul George. I chose this pairing because both of them are trailing in their respective series; 2 games to 1. They also have the next game at their home court.

This chart compares the last 5 regular season games of each player.

 

I also compared how each produced in a home game. Both averaged 22.6 in their last 5 regular season games. George grabs more rebounds and should double Thomas in this category. Thomas will get at least 3 more assists with 1 less turnover per game. George is a more complete player but Thomas will have the ball more. The injuries to the Celtics and a comparable price make Thomas my play.

 

 

 

 

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NBA Playoffs: Klay Thompson or James Harden

This is the 1st of the series of comparing players during the NBA playoffs. I decided to look at the match up between Klay Thompson and James Harden. This comes on the heels of the Warriors record setting 73-9 season and the Rockets rush to the 8th and final playoff spot. I selected this match up because these two will play each other in the 1st round. I realize they are in different price ranges in daily fantasy.

Analytics indicate that all players perform better when rested. Keep that in mind since there are 2 to 3 days between games to get the ultimate performance.

Harden has average 10 points more during the last 5 games of the regular season. His turnovers are down during this same period by 1 to 2 per game. His value per cost has increased .12 over the season and he is trending up.

Thompson is averaging 4 points less but getting 1 more rebound per outing during the last 5 games. His value per cost has decreased by .24 and he is trending down. Thompson's price is better.

Harden will give more productivity. He won't be playing beyond this series so grab him now!

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NBA Playoffs 2015-2016

The NBA playoffs started this week. I will have a series of articles that will compare comparable

players based on daily fantasy prices and make a determination as to which one has the best value.

I will also participate in a contest that will run through the entire playoffs. The players that obtain

a double - double will get one point. If the player get a triple double, he gets two points. A quadruple double that does not include turnovers would get 4 points. The player that gets the most points wins.

I want the fans of DraftKing and FanDuel to follow me and see how well I do. Tell me who you would pick as your player. I will update this blog post through the duration of the playoffs.

Which of these guys would you pick?

Follow me and see which one, if any, I select. Leave a comment if you like someone not pictured.

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               Read my latest post about #Warriors Klay Thompson & #Rockets James Harden.
thegamingguyproductions.blogspot.com/2016/04/nba-playoffs-klay-thompson-or-james.html

This Week in Gaming Review

 

FanDuel and DraftKings have suspended all college sports contests involving NCAA players from their offering of Fantasy Sports effective at the end of this Final Four Weekend.This makes Fantasy Sports acceptable to some legislators that are currently on the fence. They are presently 30 states that are considering some form of regulations (pro or con) about daily fantasy. While the debate over skill

or gambling continues, most states see this as a tax generating revenue base. It is part of what the public considers fun. This is simply giving the people what they want.

 
                                                                  Final Four Odds
                                         The North Carolina vs. Syracuse analysis is here.

The Tar Heels opened as a 4-5 favorites at the Westgate SuperBook, followed by Villanova at 11-4, Oklahoma at 4-1 and long-shot Syracuse at 10-1.  The match up between Nova and the Sooners is here.
Villanova -1.5 o/u 149.5
North Carolina  -9.5 o/u 149.5
Both of the above are opening numbers.

As of this post,the Sooners are now 7-2 and Carolina is 5-7.
The Orangemen are 12-1 and the Cats are 16-5. When you compare the line movement,the sports books are generating interest in both of the former Big East rivals. Interest does not always lead to
action.

 

Villanova was attracting the bulk of the early bets against Oklahoma at sportsbook operator CG Technology. According to CG Technology vice president of race and sports Jason Simbal, 10 times more money had been wagered on the favored Wildcats compared to the Sooners as of Sunday night.

                                    Follow me  for my picks for the #FinalFour 

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