Wednesday, September 7, 2022

NFL Totals for 2022

 


The NFL is just one day away from starting the 2022 season. A great time to look at some over/under projections for several NFL teams. I looked at the schedule and breakdown the victories and the losses. I also look for teams that have a winning streak against their opponents within a division.

An example of this is the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have won seven straight games against the Miami Dolphins and four straight against the New York Jets. If those streaks continue and the Bills split with the New England Patriots as they have in the past two seasons, Buffalo will have 5 wins in their own division. The Bills play the NFC North with projected wins against the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions. Buffalo plays Green Bay at home and after a bye week. They will be favored to win that game. This would take them to 8 wins. With games against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns the Bills can easily be at 10 wins This would mean that the Bills would need 2 wins against this group of teams. The Tennessee Titans, Minnesota Vikings, Kansas City Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals, and the Baltimore Ravens. I see the 1st game against the Rams as a potential loss. The Bills would finish 12-5 and go over the projected total of 11.5. The price is -140 if you take them over.

Most times the emphasis is on the good teams and a winning situation. There is value in taking the projected under on teams transitioning due to coaching or quarterback changes. The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Steelers are going into a season for the 1st time in over 15 seasons without Ben Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh will have problems with division opponents and will only be favored in their home game against the Cleveland Browns. With 5 projected losses within the division the Steelers will look at a 1-3 mark against the AFC East, they should only be favored against the Jets. Pittsburgh is projected at 7.5 wins. The under price is -135.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are being coach by Doug Pederson. The culture needs a makeover after Urban Meyers toxic reign as coach. Even having Trevor Lawrence, the number one pick in the 2021 draft is not enough to project this team to above 500.The Jags will go 0-4 against the AFC West. The same outlook appears when they play the NFC East. With 8 losses. Jacksonville would have to win 7 of the nine remaining games. Wins should come against the Texans, Jets and Detroit. The Jags should come short of the projected total of 6.5 games. The under has a price of -120.

Bet RIVERS has several alternate team wins projected over and under. Check them out at Bet Rivers

 

Here are several top teams and their projected win totals.

Kansas City Chiefs-10.5

Dallas Cowboys - 10

Los Angeles Rams-10.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- 11.5

Green Bay Packers-11

Baltimore Ravens-9.5

I would advise you to look at the schedules and gauge where the wins and losses will occur before making your selections.

 

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