NFL Elite Eight

We did well in the Wild Card Weekend round. Depending on when you got your bet down, Seahawks covered the 2.5 and pushed on the 2. Indy won outright and  the Eagles game went under. Ravens were not successful against the Chargers. 3-1 was the record.

So this week..

We like Indy with the points against the Chiefs. Indy has the formula that will keep the Chiefs at bay. Strong running game and long drives engineered by Andrew Luck. Mahomes had MVP season. This game will go over. Andy Reid exits playoff early again.

Cowboys have momentum. They are not as impressive on the road. Defense will travel and they will stop Todd Gurley. If you can find a prop bet that features Elliott vs. Gurley, take Zeke to have more rushing yards. Rams may have peaked too early. Take Boys and the points.

Patriots vs. Chargers. This one is easy. When you can get Brady and not lay a touchdown you take him. He is 7-0 against Rivers. Second straight cross country does not bode well. We are impress with the coach of the Chargers. But not over Belichick.

Eagles and Saints. Foles magic is still in the air. Dallas gave the blueprint on how to slow down Brees. It will work for a half.  Saints will finish more drives than Birds. If you must take this game go under. 50 is a lot in a playoff game. 

Odds to Win Super Bowl Llll – from Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas

Saints +225

Chiefs +450

Rams +450

Patriots +500

Chargers +900

Colts +1400

Cowboys +1400

                                                         Enjoy the games!

NFL Wild Card Weekend

Let's jump right in. We will start with the Colts against the Texans. Indy and Andrew Luck are playing well on both sides of the ball. Not fond of Bill O'Brien as a head coach and play calling in key moments. Colts must keep Watson under control and off the field, They showed they could do that against the Titans and Cowboys over the last weeks of the regular season. It continues against Texans.

Seattle against Dallas is up next. 

Seahawks are a replica of Colts. They play outstanding defense and they run the ball down your throat. They beat Dallas earlier this season. Dallas is 2-8 in last 10 playoff appearances. Boys are tough at home. This is a solid under game. Russell Wilson is better than Prescott and will prove it Saturday. 

Chargers and Ravens open the slate on Sunday. Ravens beat Chargers in Los Angeles two weeks ago.

Rivers played his worst game of the season. He will have Melvin Gordon back so that will help. Ravens defense is outstanding. Defense wins championships. Chargers playing the early game and traveling across country. West coast teams normally don't do well in this situation. Ravens win and sack Rivers 4 times.

Eagles versus Bears is the final contest of the weekend. Eagles are riding the magic of Nick Foles again. Less weapons than last year. Not as strong defensively as Bears. They may be equal offensively. We expect a low scoring game so under 41 is the play. The money on the game is trending toward the Bears and the line has moved by 1.5. We are content with the under.

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NFL Recap -Week 3

This week we are looking at the 1-2 teams with the best chance of making the playoffs. The percentage of teams starting with a 1-2 record and getting to the postseason is approximately 23%.

That equates to less than 1/4  of the teams that have that record. The top four teams that have a good shot of doing this are Carolina, Indy, Arizona and Bengals. Carolina and Indy play in weak divisions and can make ground up by playing opponents they are familiar with.

Cam Newton

Andrew Luck

Arizona has enough talent on both sides of the ball to go on a winning streak of  4 to 6 games. They won 9 straight in 2015.Bengals play in a tough division and are looking up at the Ravens and Steelers. Cincy has made the playoffs the last 5 years in a row.

Their is reason for optimism in the aforementioned teams. They have to win this week or their chance will drop to approximately 10%.

Next week, we will look at the top undefeated teams and look at how they rank in a power rating index. Will your team be included?

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