The NFC North is shaping up as a competitive division. With the Detroit Lions set to defend their 2023 division crown after a impressive season. The Lions won 12 games and won their first playoff game in over 32 years.Two teams from this division made the playoffs. The Chicago Bears had the top draft pick in the 2024 NFL Draft so they are looking to improve their recordfrom 7-10. Let's look at the win total for each team
Detroit Lions- Projected Win Total is 10.5. The Lions have won 21 games over the past two regular seasons. Last year's 3 game win improvement was one of the highest increases in the NFL over a year to year period.While a another increase is not foreseeable because of strong streght of schedule,the Lions are on paper the best team in the division.Lions will go over the projected win total.
The Green Bay Packes-projected win total is 9.5. The Packers signed QB Jordan Love to a multi year extension basd his 2nd half performance of the 2023 season. Love led the Packers to a 6-2 record and a win over the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card Round. They added RB Josh Jacobs and AJ Dillion The Pack movrd on from star RBAaron Jones after he declined to take a pay cut. The Packers are poised to make anther playoff run and will contend for the division. Green Bay will go over the 9/5 projection.
The Chicago Bears-projected win total is 8.5.The Bears selected QB Caleb Williams with the first overall selection in the 2024 NFL Draft. They moved on from hhe extremely talented but erratic QB Justin Fields.The Bears have weapons around Williams that should help him assimilate into the pro game.The question is will Williams be more like CJ Stroud of the Houston Texans or struggle similar to Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers. I see Williams struggling early but doing better after the first 4 games of the season.The Bears willschedule from week four to eight includes the Panthers,Washingron Commanders and the Arizona Cardinals.Bears will not make the playoffs but will scratch out 9 wins. They go over the projection.
Minnesota Vikings projected win total is 7.5.The Vikings are moving on from QB Kirk Cousins and trusting QBs Sam Darnold and top draft pick JJ McCarthy to keep the team in contention. Although they have WR Justin Jefferson who is one of the top recievers in the league, he will not perform at the optomum level due to the drop in quarterback play.The Vikings won 7 games last year without Cousins and Jefferson for most of the season.I am not sold on either QB so this will be a down year for the Vikings, Vikings will go under.
Here is a clip of the NFL North Win Totals.
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