Sports Betting-Inside the Numbers:Totals

 A popular method of wagering on sports is totals.Totals are the amount of scores combine in a contest or by an individual. The runs in MLB,the points in the NFL,NBA,WNBA,NCAA Football  and Basketball,along with  NHL are events that most people will bet on. The total gives you the ability to watch and have a vested interest in both teams.You can make your bet on one team to exceed or go under a projected number as well.

How the Sports Book Operators determines  the total for a contest by combining the points that the two teams averaged together.The 2024 Super Bowl LVIII featured the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The total was set at 47.5. The 49ers averaged 28.9 points in 2023.The Chiefs averaged 21.8 points.Both teams had outstanding defenses so a number that would be 50.5 was modified by 3 points. The final score was the Chiefs winning 25-22 in overtime.  

There are situations when the Operators are feeling out the public and setting a number based on speculation. Indiana Fever Guard Caitlin Clark played in her first WNBA game against the Connecticut Sun. Her projected points for that game were 20.5. This was based on her performance in college where she averaged 28.4 for her career. She scored 20 in a 92-71 loss.Most of the tickets were on Clark to go over the number. 

The public is prone to make wagers on the over because of the appeal of offense. The use of algorithms keeps the projected number close to the final outcome. This is the ideal circumstance for the operator and the betting public. The public will gravitate toward the over in most sports but over the last 10 seasons in the NFL,the games have gone under 51.32% of the time. Less than 2% of the game end in a push . A push is when a game ends in a tie. 

The strategies  with totals should factor in injuries,weather and if applicable,recent divisional history. Avoid out of conference games unless one team is clearly superior to the other. That team will dominate and the lean to the over would be the play.When looking at individuals,focus on the player's average,last 5 games played and recent performance against an opponent.

Now I will get you ready for the Summer Olympics. Root for your country and make money while doing it. Always practice smart responsible gaming! We will dive into the Summer Games in my next posy.

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Sports Betting-Inside the Numbers:Favorites

 Sports Betting has a variable that all pundits or bettors are aware of. Who is the favorite is the question asked before any contest or event between teams or individuals.This is the team or individual that is generally considered as the better of the two.The consensus of the public along with the statistics associated with opponents plays a part.

The Sports Betting Operators assess the opponents once an event is scheduled and within moments,provide the betting community with a number. While the bettors is lookung at emotional attachments and personal prefences,the operators uses algorithms and data to arrive at a number. The number the operator selects is designed to create a balance of interest in the event. 

When a popular team is onvolved,balance is hard to achieve. Some rabid fans of the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles will wager on their home teams  regardless of the designation as a favorite  or a underdog. An undefdog is the team that is viewed as the weaker of the two. Regional Sports Book Operators are quietly rooting that the home team wins but does not cover the number assigned to the event. Covering the number is qinning by more than the figure posted. The Eagles may be favored by 7 points over the New York Giants. The Sports Book Manager in Philadelphia wants to win money. The way to do that is for favorites to loses or at least not cover.

When a number is assigned,there are  two segments that follow it. Smart Money comes in first. Smart Money is from people that are astute sports bettors that generally wager limit or high amounts of money.Smart Money is known to take advantage of a line  or number. Public Money comes next. The public takes time to decipher the number. In that time,the sports book operator can slightly adjust the number based on the smart money wagered initially.

My next post will go into how the operator arrives at a number and the strategy associated with it. Remember that knowlege and discipline equare to power! Always think smart responsible gaming.

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The Super Bowl Contest

The Super Bowl 55 Contest is here. Are you ready to win some NFL gear?  This is going to be fun and easy. Here are the steps. 

Enter for a chance to win one of five prizes of sport apparel, worth approximately $200, collectively. The merchandise is from the NFL Shop and Fanatics.

Restrictions: Must be over 21 years of age to submit an entry. No entries from any social media accounts that appear to be created solely for the purpose of this contest will be considered.

Start date is 1/31/21 at 9:00 AM  and the End date for submitting entries is Sunday 2/7/21 at midnight.

                                                              Compete on Twitter

Follow @GamingguyM & @KeshisCuties on Twitter. Tweet your best question pertaining to Super Bowl 55. Tag two people with your question along with GamingguyM & KeshisCuties. If you don't have a question, you can submit a GIF or a Meme. We only ask that you do not submit multiple entries. We pick the best one submitted. No profanity or inappropriate comments will be considered. Think PG-13. 

                                                              Compete on Instagram

Follow @SmartResponsibleGaming on Instagram. Post your best photo or video pertaining to the Super Bowl. Tag two people with your photo or video along with me. We pick the best one. This contest is not sponsored or associated with Instagram.  Only one entry per this medium.

                                                               Compete on LinkedIn 

Become part of my LinkedIn Network. You can share my post to your network and leave a comment on my post. Give your Super Bowl prediction of the winner and the total points scored in the game. The tie breaker is the order of your comment. Example, if your comment is third and someone that has the same prediction as you is the fourth to answer, you win because you answered and shared before they did. You must share and comment to be considered. Only one prediction and total points entry per person.

                                                                    The prizes include

 

Pick the one item you want of these 5 and it will be shipped to you, if your entry is selected. You can enter on each social media platform to increase your chances of winning. So if you have a Twitter account and a Instagram page, you can submit something on both.  I almost forgot the most important thing. This contest is free!  Good Luck and enjoy the game!

Winners will be announced on Monday, February 8th. All entries must be submitted by midnight on February 7. The same day as the Super Bowl.

Follow me on Twitter for conversations  leading up to the game and watch my videos on Instagram.