Showing posts with label NHL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NHL. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

Sports Betting-Inside the Numbers:Totals

 A popular method of wagering on sports is totals.Totals are the amount of scores combine in a contest or by an individual. The runs in MLB,the points in the NFL,NBA,WNBA,NCAA Football  and Basketball,along with  NHL are events that most people will bet on. The total gives you the ability to watch and have a vested interest in both teams.You can make your bet on one team to exceed or go under a projected number as well.

How the Sports Book Operators determines  the total for a contest by combining the points that the two teams averaged together.The 2024 Super Bowl LVIII featured the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs. The total was set at 47.5. The 49ers averaged 28.9 points in 2023.The Chiefs averaged 21.8 points.Both teams had outstanding defenses so a number that would be 50.5 was modified by 3 points. The final score was the Chiefs winning 25-22 in overtime.  

There are situations when the Operators are feeling out the public and setting a number based on speculation. Indiana Fever Guard Caitlin Clark played in her first WNBA game against the Connecticut Sun. Her projected points for that game were 20.5. This was based on her performance in college where she averaged 28.4 for her career. She scored 20 in a 92-71 loss.Most of the tickets were on Clark to go over the number. 

The public is prone to make wagers on the over because of the appeal of offense. The use of algorithms keeps the projected number close to the final outcome. This is the ideal circumstance for the operator and the betting public. The public will gravitate toward the over in most sports but over the last 10 seasons in the NFL,the games have gone under 51.32% of the time. Less than 2% of the game end in a push . A push is when a game ends in a tie. 

The strategies  with totals should factor in injuries,weather and if applicable,recent divisional history. Avoid out of conference games unless one team is clearly superior to the other. That team will dominate and the lean to the over would be the play.When looking at individuals,focus on the player's average,last 5 games played and recent performance against an opponent.

Now I will get you ready for the Summer Olympics. Root for your country and make money while doing it. Always practice smart responsible gaming! We will dive into the Summer Games in my next posy.




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Friday, June 28, 2024

NBA and NHL Drafts along with the top Free Agents

 The NBA Draft took place on Wednesday and Thursday. While all 30 teams had an opportunity to improve their team by selecting someone based on need or best player available,there was no franchise changing player in the entire draft based on a prior body of work.Most of the conversation was centered around where Bronny James would go and at what spot. The Los Angeles Lakers pick Bronny in the 2nd round with the 55th pick. The comments about the pselection range to nepotism to prospect.The nepotism comments are no different than one's associated with Jack Buck,Jeremy Schapp or Wade Phillips. All of these men had famous fathers whose positions afforded them opportunities in fields where the parent was well respected.Lebron James is no exception. He just voiced his desire publicly on multiple ocassions. He is npw psrt of history for being part of the first father-son duo to play in the NBA at th. same time and for the same faranchise.

  • Acording to CBS Sports,these are 7 teams that earned  high grades for the NBA Draft 2024.
  • Atlanta Hawks
  • Los Angeles Lakers
  • San Antnio Spur
  • Philadelphia 76ers
  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Memphis Grizzlies
  • Portland TrailBlazers
The  NBA Free Ag period is about to start with several prominent players available. DeMar DeRozan,D'Angelo Russell,Isaiah Hartenstein,James Harden,Klay Thompson and Miles Bridges are in that group. The players whose names are being floated in trade talks are Jimmy Butler,Paul George, and Brandon Ingram. The New York Knicks made everyone take notice bywith the acquisition of Mikal Bridges and the resigning of OG Anunoby.

The NHL Draft takes place tonight in Las Vegas. This is the first televised event drom the Sphere. It will be shown on ESPN and the NHL Network. Check out the video for more.


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Friday, August 28, 2020

The Twitter Expansion of GTLivechat and GTLHottopics

Robert M.Mims


I want to share some exciting news about my plan to expand my engagement on Twitter. At the start of the NBA shutdown due to COVID 19, I started a doing a twitter chat 3 nights a week. The conversations included sports, sports business and sports betting. It was expanded to include music from contemporary artists and delve into their music catalogues. The audience grew exponentially over the 4 months and expanded to cover both the east and west coast.  The chat achieved approximately 30,000 impressions during the ESPYS on June 21st.

Since sports have returned the format has changed. The conversation or threads can't last as long in the evening because the games are rightfully taking center stage. A mid day version of the chat was added to engage the audience longer. This addition captured positive results. With the NFL coming in two weeks, it makes sense to expand the coverage, Start on September 1st, the chat will be on 4 nights. Those nights will be Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Thursday. A mid day version will happen on each of the aforementioned days of the week with Wednesday included at noon. 

The night chats will start at 7:30 prior to an NFL game. The conversation before any other game(NBA,MLB,NHL,WNBA or Tennis) will start 30 minutes before the contest.  There will still be polls that will gauge your opinions, questions that pertain to your sports betting selections and data that will help you make an informed decisions. We also highlight our followers by sharing their tweets and applaud their creativity when they include a GIF. On Thursday, there is a women in media segment that spotlights the achievements of  female athletes, reporters and business executives. On Fridays, we will still do Shout Outs and #FF. If you follow we follow back. 

Nkeshi Free 


The chat are cohosted by Nkeshi Free. She adds the creative side to the collaboration and is knowledgeable in all sports. Her twitter handle is @KeshisCuties. My twitter handle is @GamingguyM.

Tuesday is the #GTLHottopics day. All other days we use the #GTLivechat.

You can get updated information at smartresponsiblegaming.com


Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Sports Webinar: Become Better at Betting




It took approximately 6 weeks but here it is. Smart Responsible Gaming launched the website with the concept of doing a sports betting webinar. The timing is perfect because 3 of the 4 professional leagues are about to resume play. Most of the public had to find other ways of coping with out sports. 
We no longer have to watch Netflix, binge watch an entire television series that we missed or replays of games played earlier in the season.
Live sports will mean we can watch our favorite past times on a consistent basis. Included in that group are the millions pf people that bet on the games. The lack of action left a void for so many adults. It is our wish that if you are going to watch the game and bet on it, that you do it more effectively.
Our webinar will facilitate that for you. You will learn 3 principles that will improve your wagering strategy. If you are a novice, you will learn the terminology associated with sports betting. Our webinar will appeal to women. Women make up approximately 20% of the sports betting population.
We think that is a growth marketing opportunity. 
The date of the webinar is July 29th at 11:00 AM. The cost is $30.  This information will make you a smarter bettor that looks at statistics and analytics. It will require you to rely less on emotional attachments and more on probability. If you are prepared to do that and maintain more of your money as you bet on games  then this is how you sign up.

                                                         Webinar Registration

                              GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800 GAMBLER
                                         MUST BE OVER 21 YEARS OF AGE

Monday, March 2, 2020

Sports Betting and Sports Business

I decided to give the bettors some of the things I look for when I handicap games in Las Vegas, I can't share everything but I'll give you three keys that will increase your profits. My sports betting trifecta.



Key Number One is Don't believe the Hype! If you see a betting service that tells you they are hitting at a 75% rate or higher they are not being real with you. Sports betting is an up and down proposition. Hitting games over a period of a month at a 54 to 58% rate is good.. If you bet regular intervals and practice money management, you can stay alive. Any service that you pay for is merely eating into your bankroll. 

Key Number Two is do your homework before you bet. Look at things like trends, sub samples of last 5 to 10 games played and injury reports. If an event take place more than 60% of the time with a sample size of 8 or more it has validity. I tend to go with than against a trend. 

Key Number Three is bet what you know. I don't bet preseason or exhibition games. I don't bet XFL games just because I like to bet football. That may change but I want to see more and have more data before I start wagering. Save your money for NBA,NHL and March Madness respectively.



I will end this post with Sports Business information about the ECGC in Atlantic City. This event is not until April but if you act now you can obtain an early bird rate prior to April 3rd. I plan to cover this event but nothing compares to being there. You will get information from the top Gaming CEOs, the view from Wall Street about the gaming industry and how esports will play a role in the casinos. 

Check out my next post this week in Bettors Insider.  If you want me in real time you can follow me on Twitter, Facebook, Pinterest and Instagram for updates!

Saturday, November 2, 2019

G2E 2019 Instagram Review

If a picture could talk it would share hundreds of words. The following photos are from the G2E in Las Vegas. A slide show of them will appear on Instagram. I attend every year and this was my best social experience of all the previous conferences. That is the direction of the gaming industry. Be prepared to ride the wave. What worked 20 years ago is not resonating with the 35 and under crowd. If you are not sure how to do it just ask me. I'll share what I know. Enjoy the photos.
FanDuel CEO Matt King


CNBC's Contessa Brewer 

Aristocrat launches "Crazy Rich Asians" Slot Machine



Sara Sloan


Gamblit Gaming

Gaming Guy and NHL commissioner Gary Bettman

Walt Fales and Matt Kenagy -Creators of The Linq Sports Book


SBTech Chairman Gavin Issacs

Diversify and expand the game!
                               Check out my video and follow me on Twitter and Instagram.
                                                  #Sportsbetting #Casino #Marketing #Gaming

Monday, October 28, 2019

This Month in Sports Betting and Sports Business


I have changed the time period for this post to include news and information from the G2E 2019. The college world is addressing the sports betting landscape by not allowing students to wager on their school teams. Every school has not adopted this practice but all are looking at what steps should be taken to protect the student athlete. For now, all have held fast to the NCAA standard that was in place prior to the Supreme Court overturning PASPA. This article from the New York Times goes into more detail.

G2E takeaways for me continue to be pushing innovation, provide content and make your operation appeal to your customer. A strong mobile app is imperative. A great social experience that makes being in the sports book comparable to going to a movie. I could wait and see it in my home but that would lack the exciting of seeing the movie in a packed house. Add 5G capability and high definition resolution viewing and you have something worth leaving home for. 
Executive Panel includes Gary Bettman Matt King,Greg Carlin and Joe Asher

Partnerships with professional sports teams are ways to heighten brand recognition of the sports business. Casinos know the gaming operations and have the customer base. The teams have the data and the venues. The synergy in the collaboration can be reap tremendous marketing opportunities that go beyond sports betting.

The Nerd Street Gamers have enter into a major agreement with Five Below to bring esports into the retail store chain. The strategy is to have the esports centers in stores near high schools and middle schools. This is the innovation I referred to earlier. Kudos to Wayne Kimmel and John Fazio.

The Bet on Sports America is on my agenda for 2020. It should also be on yours. My latest video that addresses Sports Betting is here.

Saturday, October 29, 2016

This Week in Gaming Review

The news from Pennsylvania was bright as of this post. The Pennsylvania House added an amendment to a bill to fix unconstitutional taxes on casinos that will include online gaming and fantasy sports. There is a small window because the State Senate has a limited amount of days left in session during the month of November. If they do not concur, the entire process will start again in 2017. The logical thing to do is to pass the bill and work out the logistics in January. Then the Commonwealth  is guaranteed  new and current revenue streams.

DraftKings and FanDuel are planning to merge according to reports from ESPN Chalk. This was rumored earlier this year but it now appears imminent.

Las Vegas is courting the NBA. MGM CEO Jim Murren is looking at current teams that are looking at relocation. This report is cited by Las Vegas Review Journal. This news is on the heels of the NHL coming to Vegas in 2017 & the Raiders considering a move there as well. This would change the view that sports betting would be bad for the integrity of the games.
MGM Grand Las Vegas


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Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Gaming Interview with ESPN's David Purdum: Sports Betting





A traditional newspaper journalist, David Purdum has covered the gaming industry, with a focus on sports betting, for the past seven years. He has followed New Jersey’s court battles with the sports leagues closely and covered the case for ESPN.com, The Linemakers on Sporting News, Sports Business Journal and other outlets. He has appeared on ESPN’s Outside the Lines and was a panelist on “US and European Methods to Combat Corruption and Match-Fixing in Sports” at the Sports Lawyers Association’s annual conference in 2013. He currently covers the industry for ESPN.com’s new sports betting site, ESPN Chalk.
In addition to his gaming coverage, Purdum also covers professional, college and high school sports for the Sports Xchange and the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.


I follow David on Twitter and look forward to his updates. He is the leading gaming industry report
                                                                     for ESPN.







David is on top of the pulse of the online betting conversation as shown by his participation in I Gaming North America conference. He is part of the panel discussion on the progress report on the legalization of Sports Betting. I was able to get David to share some of his views prior to his session.


1). The NBA and MLB commissioners are receptive to the prospect of Sports Betting. What is the stance of the other major professional leagues?
The NFL and NCAA, at least publicly, have not softened their opposition to sports betting legalization. I believe--and NBA commissioner Adam Silver affirmed it--all the leagues are taking a close look at the benefits of legalization. NHL commissioner Gary Bettman has acknowledged the need to take another look at sports betting, but has not been nearly as publicly supportive of legalization as either Silver or new baseball commissioner Rob Manfred.
Notice the two leagues that have come on board with legalization have new commissioners in Silver and Manfred. NFL commissioner Roger Goodell’s contract is not up until 2019.
 

2). What would the buy in be for each league to sanction Sports Betting? 
There are several models that have been considered. In Australia, for example, the leagues receive a commission off the amount of money won by the books on the specific sports. In that model, the leagues, indeed, would have a stake in who covers the spread. Obviously, that would not help the public’s perception of the games’ integrity. But it should. In Australia, if gambling-related corruption is discovered, the leagues are subject to losing their cut of the profits. It’s on the leagues to protect their sport’s integrity.
Two New Jersey politicians offered the NBA a .25 percent cut off the top of every wager. The problem with this model is that the margins on bookmaking are very slim. Giving another party a cut off the top will put a strain on the books to offer competitive odds and remain profitable. Australia experimented with giving a cut to the leagues off every wager and found that the books simply quit taking big wagers and pushed parlays and bad odds on customers.
If part of the goal of legalization is to bring the billions be wagered in the offshore market to a regulated environment, the legal books must be able to offer competitive odds.
Mark Cuban also mentioned charging the bookmakers licensing fees to use their data. In January, Silver said the NBA was not ready to announce which model they’re leaning toward.

 
 
3). Fantasy Sports Betting is growing at an alarming rate. Would a Sport Betting initiative slow that?
Not at all. Fantasy sports is embraced by the sports leagues, who helped get a carve-out in the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006, keeping fantasy sports legal. The legalization of traditional sports betting won’t have any direct impact on fantasy sports, in my opinion.
 
 
4). The UK and other European nations currently have sport wagering. Are they similar to what we have in Nevada?
Yes. In fact, several of the UK’s biggest sports books have entered or are trying to enter the Nevada market. William Hill was the first. It received its Nevada gaming license three years ago. Ladbrokes and Irish sports book giant Paddy Power have expressed interest.
 

5).Do you feel that a national sport betting referendum would impact Las Vegas? They currently have the monopoly on the market.
I do, but I think it will be mild. However, Vegas bookmakers and casino execs have been adamant that expansion would only benefit them. Some of the books have mentioned the willingness to expand outside of Nevada. So while it might not necessarily impact some of the casino companies, I can’t help but think some people who travel to Vegas for big events, like the Super Bowl, would consider other locations where sports betting is legal.

6). The consensus indicates that Sports Betting is coming, just a matter of when. If you were a betting man, what time frame would you give?
The over/under has been set at 4.5 years until we see expanded legalized sport betting in the U.S. To me, it’s all on the NFL. I’ve really learned just how powerful the league is. When it softens its stance, I believe we will see rapid movement toward legalization. I don’t think it is anywhere close to that point yet, though. Remember, Goodell’s contract is up in 2019.
 
 I would suggest you follow David on Twitter at @DavidPurdum. He is informative and connected to the beat of sports and gaming. His panel discussion at  I Gaming North America starts at 3:05PM -PDT. This event is being held at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas on 4/16/15. State Senator Lesniak is also a participant on this round table. As for me,

 

 
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Monday, February 9, 2015

The Marriage of Sports and Gaming

In the past week, two news items piqued my interest regarding the legalization of a national sports betting platform. One was a statement issued by Adam Silver, Commissioner of the +NBA. He was recently being interviewed in +ESPN, The Magazine and stated that he was engaged in discussions with other owners about the possibility of allowing wagering on NFL,MLB and NHL games. Here is a quote from that interview.
 
Silver says, "I have talked to the commissioners in the other leagues about it, and I leave it to them to make any public statements they want to make on it. I will say that certainly all of them ... have assigned people in their organizations to study the issue intensively."
 
 
This is not the 1st time Silver has mention his interest in expanding the reach of the game into casinos and betting establishments. This is a sign that he is definitely serious about what his agenda to transition sports to fit the new wave of fans. A national platform will be easier to monitor and regulate. Traditional gambling sites with brand names could introduce a product  that is socially acceptable but largely illegal. It will also provide a revenue that is currently not being tax to help fund programs that we are in need of.
 
 
 
The second statement was issued by Senator John McCain, from the State of Arizona. Sen. McCain (R-Ariz.), speaking on "Capital Games" with ESPN's Andy Katz and ABC's Rick Klein, said Congress needs to hold hearings to discuss legalizing sports betting. The theme of the show is to offer the perspectives of policy makers on issues that relate to the world of sports

"We need a debate in Congress," McCain said. "We need to have a talk with the American people, and we need to probably have hearings in Congress on the whole issue so we can build consensus." giving his opinion on sports betting. Licensed sports betting, particularly on devices showing games, is the mechanism that will eventually allow all professional sports to profit.
Mobile and Live Betting Software
 

The timing of a Congress that is controlled by the party of a former presidential candidate gives the possibility of this getting past the discussion stage more of a chance than getting an interview from Marshawn Lynch. The probability of something being done this year is significantly lower than the likelihood of +50 Shades of Grey being the number 1 box office movie. However, several states have already introduced bills that will allow sport betting. They include New Jersey, New York, Indiana, South Carolina and soon, Minnesota. 
 
I have two suggestions that give the proposed marriage of sports and gaming consummation. I would like someone from the gaming world with a national profile to embrace the position of sports and gaming as being feasible. The state of Nevada has a blueprint that can be emulated nationwide. I would encourage the commissioners of the leagues to have a summit sometime within the next 6 weeks to give this concept traction. The NFL and MLB are not in season so the time is ideal for them. Include the MLS too. A tremendous large and diverse fan base with international proportions. Have the summit in  Las Vegas, Atlantic City or New York City. The logistics being the association with gaming and the location of the league offices.  I 'll revisit the status of this in a future post.

Happy Valentine's Day

                                                          
 
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